Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.927015 3.501654 4.144140 4.913483 5.807320 6.810620 8.019512
2025-11-02 1.997167 2.696294 3.562184 4.704482 6.161665 7.947271 10.288407
2025-11-09 1.447256 2.166507 3.137540 4.525042 6.433663 8.940377 12.449626
2025-11-16 1.140064 1.865815 2.920375 4.531448 6.889427 10.164997 14.996676
2025-11-23 0.923261 1.637680 2.746224 4.542329 7.316182 11.358571 17.590308
2025-11-30 0.750438 1.435503 2.565284 4.496984 7.628474 12.391303 20.025293
2025-12-07 0.587923 1.212415 2.306054 4.276415 7.622857 12.923459 21.736543
2025-12-14 0.489534 1.081085 2.174735 4.239191 7.892286 13.887079 24.175250
2025-12-21 0.413442 0.974877 2.067569 4.222373 8.183199 14.897846 26.759272
2025-12-28 0.381151 0.950248 2.106899 4.472598 8.960087 16.773315 30.904358
2026-01-04 0.339557 0.896440 2.079372 4.589648 9.503815 18.289977 34.554975
2026-01-11 0.310262 0.863940 2.089027 4.777937 10.194558 20.113543 38.863009
2026-01-18 0.268005 0.792724 2.008185 4.778071 10.536937 21.363085 42.298821
2026-01-25 0.220114 0.695735 1.853847 4.602107 10.512249 21.936467 44.565894
2026-02-01 0.181110 0.611790 1.713697 4.434638 10.481472 22.488474 46.827204
2026-02-08 0.157923 0.565911 1.656251 4.443600 10.816521 23.766655 50.539432
2026-02-15 0.138189 0.524924 1.603508 4.455133 11.155855 25.076407 54.400515
2026-02-22 0.118960 0.480034 1.532167 4.410825 11.364776 26.135861 57.841096
2026-03-01 0.096476 0.417291 1.399887 4.194106 11.156023 26.313345 59.529358
2026-03-08 0.083381 0.383093 1.341326 4.157545 11.360406 27.371263 63.072470
2026-03-15 0.072692 0.354332 1.293099 4.141023 11.609567 28.541871 66.923593
2026-03-22 0.069968 0.355995 1.338393 4.386973 12.525077 31.234547 74.138659
2026-03-29 0.064233 0.343617 1.337175 4.502032 13.124604 33.266427 80.068562